Real-time data and monitoring technology informs and improves so many aspects of our daily lives—from sensors that avoid a collision before drivers can respond, to smartwatches that can detect when we’ve been in an accident and call for help.

One area where it has enormous potential is in keeping track of—and limiting the use of—scarce resources. That’s something economists and environmentalists have been advocating for years. Now, an analysis of a pilot project conducted by researchers affiliated with the University of Chicago’s Energy Policy Institute, which I help run, offers evidence of the promise—and potential shortcomings—of using real-time data to encourage conservation.

City officials in Fresno, Calif., were grappling with how to conserve water in the face of a historic drought. The traditional technique: water cops. The city’s inspectors would drive around to spot households watering their lawns during times when watering was prohibited. But when the researchers analyzed historical data collected by the city, it showed that water cops were missing most of the violations. In 2016, for example, 68% of households illegally watered their lawn at least once during the summer months. Yet, the part-time water cops issued fines to just 0.4% of households, according to the analysis.

The system wasn’t working. So, city officials joined with the research team to test a new approach during the summer of 2018. Under the new system, smart water meters were used to detect who was using water during prohibited times, and that data was then used to enforce the rules. Those who violated the rules were first warned, and then fined—with fines increasing with each additional violation. Since this was set up as an experiment to see what worked and what didn’t, a segment of households continued to be monitored by the water cops.

The new system of automated detection worked, the researchers’ analysis found. The share of households fined for noncompliance increased sharply to 14%. Perhaps more important, many residents changed their habits. The threat of being detected caused more households to comply with the water-conservation rules, with total violations dropping by 17%. With more people following the rules, the city was able to decrease water consumption by about 3% over the summer.

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